Which model is appropriate for a quarterly time series that seems grow on average and appears to have increasing seasonal variation?

Answers

Answer 1

The appropriate model for a quarterly time series with growing average and increasing seasonal variation is the additive Holt-Winters model. This model helps estimate the trend, seasonal, and error components of the time series. By using this model, you can make accurate forecasts and analyze the data effectively.

1. The Holt-Winters model is commonly used for forecasting time series data that exhibit both trend and seasonality.
2. In this case, the time series shows growth on average, indicating a trend component. The additive model is suitable when the trend and seasonal components are independent of each other.
3. Additionally, the increasing seasonal variation suggests that the seasonal component is additive, meaning that the seasonal fluctuations are relatively constant in magnitude over time.
4. By applying the additive Holt-Winters model, you can estimate the trend, seasonal, and error components of the time series, allowing for accurate forecasting and analysis.

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Related Questions

PLZ HELP Which of the following places is not a state or territory of Australia?

A.

Tasmania

B.

the North Island

C.

the Northern Territory

D.

Queensland

Answers

Answer:

B, The North Island

Explanation:

Tasmania and Queensland are parts of Australia, and The Northern Territory is part of the Three Internal Territories. Hope this helps !! :) good luck !

FILL THE BLANK.
"Industrial/Organizational Psychology ( Psychology applied to
work by Paul Muchinsky 12 edition)
Police officers who question multiple witnesses to a crime are
primarily concerned with the _____ relia"

Answers

Police officers who question multiple witnesses to a crime are primarily concerned with the inter-rater reliability of the eyewitnesses' account.

Inter-rater reliability is crucial when police officers question multiple witnesses to a crime. It measures the level of agreement among officers assessing the same information provided by witnesses. By striving for high inter-rater reliability, officers can identify inconsistencies, assess credibility, and construct an accurate representation of the event.

Inter-rater reliability minimizes individual biases and subjective interpretations, enhancing objectivity in the investigative process. Consistent testimonies from witnesses strengthen the credibility of evidence presented in court. Detecting discrepancies helps uncover potential false information or inaccuracies, ensuring the reliability of the investigation.

Moreover, inter-rater reliability fosters collaboration among officers, enabling shared understanding and cohesive narratives. Discussions and consultations help harmonize interpretations and filter out unreliable details. This approach ensures a more robust investigation, minimizing errors and enhancing the overall integrity of the criminal justice system.

In summary, prioritizing inter-rater reliability allows officers to identify inconsistencies, assess credibility, and construct accurate representations of events. It promotes objectivity, filters out unreliable information, and enhances collaboration among officers, leading to more reliable investigations and a stronger criminal justice system.

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The complete question:

Industrial/Organizational Psychology ( Psychology applied to work by Paul Muchinsky 12 edition)

Police officers who question multiple witnesses to a crime are primarily concerned with the _____ reliability of the eyewitnesses’ account.explain why

Internal consistency

Test-retest

Inter-rater

Parallel form

Why would a borrower choose an adjustable-rate mortgage ARM instead of a fixed-rate mortgage?

Answers

Borrowers who want to leave their home before the fixed-rate portion of their ARM expires may find that adjustable-rate mortgages are a better choice than fixed-rate mortgages.

Why would a borrower opt for an ARM over a fixed rate loan?

ARMs often have lower beginning payments, but after the introductory rate period, those payments may increase. Those who intend to relocate or refinance their loan after a few years find them to be the best option. Since your monthly payments don't alter, fixed-rate loans are often more expensive up front but more predictable.

What circumstances make it more likely that an ARM would be a wiser decision than a fixed-rate mortgage?

If you plan to sell your house or pay off your mortgage in 10 years or fewer, an ARM can be worthwhile.

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HURRY 5 MINUTES LEFT

Who drafted the Declaration of Independence?
a George Washington
b. John Adams
c. Alexander Hamilton
d. Thomas Jefferson

Answers

Answer:

its d

Explanation:

Do you think that a sales tax is a fair tax
for all Americans?

Answers

Answer:

no

Explanation:

Answer:

Yes

Explanation:

The Fair Tax plan is a sales tax proposal to replace the current U.S income tax structure.

What was the effect on sharks and the triangular trade (Gross)?

Answers

Answer:

Sharks swallowed and ate the bodies of African slaves that were thrown into the sea.

Explanation:

The middle passage is a stage in the triangular trade where Slaves from the African coasts were carried across the Atlantic ocean to South and North America. In the course of crossing this ocean, some slaves became so weak that they could no longer continue the journey. Some others died from the stress and starvation they experienced in the course of the journey. This set of people were usually thrown into the ocean by their captors and their bodies were readily swallowed by the sharks.

It is believed that some of these sharks followed the ships closely so as to readily grab the opportunity of swallowing the slaves when they were thrown aboard.  

One of the few joys left to the slaves was their _____

Answers

Answer:

Life

Explanation:

Answer:

religion

Explanation:

On their day of rest, the slaves would often escape to the woods for their own service. Sometimes the women would wet quilts and hang them from the branches. This would help muffle the sounds of their service. The slaves' services were lively.

Many of the slaves found their religion gave them a chance to open their hearts and express their deepest longings. Their worship offered them a breath of hope. One of the few joys left to the slaves was their religion

Why is the water cycle important to the Troposphere?
Science

Answers

Answer:

Although the atmosphere may not be a great storehouse of water, it is the superhighway used to move water around the globe. Evaporation and transpiration change liquid water into vapor, which ascends into the atmosphere due to rising air currents.

Explanation:

Answer:

Although the atmosphere may not be a great storehouse of water, it is the superhighway used to move water around the globe. Evaporation and transpiration change liquid water into vapor, which ascends into the atmosphere due to rising air currents.

Which is the best sign that a story is written in first person point of view?
a title that includes the pronoun I, me, or my
a title that includes no pronouns at all
a character who avoids telling the truth
a character who shares feelings easily

Language Arts

Answers

Answer: a title that includes the pronoun I, me, or my.

Explanation: When the author is speaking in the first person point of view they usually refer to themselves using the pronouns I or me.

Answer:

A title that includes the pronoun I, me, or my.

Explanation:

A first person point of view is when someone in the story is telling the story. They would refer themselve as I, me, or my.

Hope i helped.

If you were the leader of your area, then for the public awareness What do you do?

Answers

The ideal functions of a leader is to bring political and social awareness regarding the ill-elements of the society.

What are the roles of a leader?

An ideal leader has to look for ideal ways to interact with the people in the locality. Awareness regarding cleanliness, water harvesting methods, usage of public places are to be made by a local leader.

Hence, it may be stated that a leader is expected to spread awareness against the ill-elements of the society.

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How did geography impact Ancient India?

Answers

Answer:

Because of India's fertile land, they were able to provide for their own people and trade with other civilizations, since they had a lot of food.

Explanation:

•"Because of this fertile environment, they began to grow crops and raise animals as farmers instead of roaming as nomads."

•"In northern India, the Brahmaputra, the Ganges, and the Indus rivers carry rich silt from the mountains to the plains. India's early settlers farmed and later built walled settlements in the river valleys. This was the start of civilization in India."

The difference between punishment and negative reinforcement is that Group of answer choices punishment strengthens undesirable behaviors, and negative reinforcement weakens undesirable behaviors punishment weakens undesirable behaviors, while negative reinforcement weakens desirable behaviors punishment weakens behavior, while negative reinforcement strengthens behavior there is no difference between punishment and negative reinforcement in their effects on behavior

Answers

Answer:

punishment weakens behavior, while negative reinforcement strengthens behavior

Explanation:

Negative Reinforcement is simply a behavior that is followed by the removal of an apathetic event. It is the one of the way to increase behavior.example of negative reinforcement

An example is when It starts snowing outside and you start to close your window.

Negative reinforcement increases the strength of the behavior. It is always goes with something that is punishing, so you can remove something negative.

Punishment decreases the strength of the behavior. The act of applying something negative, which in turn is going to decrease the behavior.

The plane stress transformation equations can be used for transforming generalized plane stress state for simultaneous rotations about x, y and the z-axes
true/false

Answers

TRUE The plane stress transformation equations can be used for transforming generalized plane stress state for simultaneous rotations about x, y and the z-axes

An object will deform when the deforming force is applied. There will be an opposing force produced inside the object that will attempt to restore the object to its previous size and shape. The direction and amplitude of this restoring force will be the exact opposite of those of the deforming force that was applied. Stress is the term used to describe the amount of restoring force produced per unit area of the material. So, the definition of stress is "The restoring force per unit area of the material." The quantity is a tensor. Greek letter is used to indicate. N/m2 or Pascal units of measurement.

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3. after seeing both films, how satisfied are you with chagnon’s original characterization of the yanomamo as "fierce people"? should a single word be used to describe an entire culture?

Answers

After seeing the film, we can say that we are disappointed by the way violence has been portrayed as in 'fierce people'.

They are known as the "fierce" people because there is frequently conflict between tribes or between them on a daily basis. Cohabitants of the same village frequently fight, hitting each other with clubs. No matter how many enemy are slain during a raid on another town, it is deemed a failure if one of their own is killed. They are aggressive fighters who enjoy engaging in combat with rival tribes because they hold the view that the stronger tribes should always prevail over the weaker ones. The quickest solution for problems between them and other villages is war and bloodshed. Furthermore, many claim that violence is not the only course of action left. Hence, a lot of people discourage the idea violence portrayed in fierce people.

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According to research on motivation, employers are most likely to ensure high performance and job satisfaction from their workers if the employers
A. double the workers' wages
B. pay per hour rather than per quantity produced
C. throw a party at the end of each week
D. redesign jobs to increase workers' responsibility and flexibility
E. monitor workers and punish the ones who are lazy

Answers

According to research on motivation, employers are most likely to ensure high performance and job satisfaction from their workers if the employers redesign jobs to increase workers' responsibility and flexibility.

Job design means making changes to the job, such as adjusting tasks or providing more control over decisions and activities, that will give employees more control and involvement in their work. Doing so can lead to greater motivation, job satisfaction, and performance. It is clear that employers are most likely to ensure high performance and job satisfaction from their workers if the employers redesign jobs to increase workers' responsibility and flexibility. So the correct answer is D. redesign jobs to increase workers' responsibility and flexibility.

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what is a revolution?
explain in your own
words.

Answers

A complete cycle of events. The revolution of the seasons. ... The definition of a revolution is the movement of one object around a center or another object, a forceful overthrow of a government by the people or any sudden or grand change. An example of revolution is movement of the earth aroud the sun.

The definition of a revolution is the movement of one object around a center or another object, a forceful overthrow of a government by the people or any sudden or grand change. An example of revolution is movement of the earth around the sun. (I Hope this helps, u can try putting just change some of the words)

Diego is a hard worker. however, in his current organization, he feels that no matter how much effort he puts in, the environment limits his level of performance. in the context of expectancy theory, diego is exhibiting

Answers

The estimate of the possibility that the effort will result in the desired outcome is, Diego is exhibiting.

Why is it essential to get appraisal to the employees?

Appraisal is an important way of motivation for the employees who got appraisal but also for the employee who doesn't get the appraisal as it motivates them to do more hard work and give a loyal dedication to organization.

Thus, The estimate of the possibility that the effort will result in the desired outcome

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Which country was the location of a proxy war that created protest and division in the United States? (1 point)

Germany



Cuba



Vietnam


Korea

Answers

Answer:

Germany

Explanation:

Answer:

The Correct Answer Is Germany

Explanation:

What was transported across the Panama Canal?(1 point)
Responses

land
land

water
water

travelers
travelers

raw materials
raw materials

Answers

The correct answer is ( RAW MATERIALS )

As you read lines 1-21, begin to collect and cite the text evidence. . In the margin, state when alcott wrote the entry in lines 1-8 . Highlight phrases that reveal alcott feelings about the war . Underline reasons why alcott wants to become a nurse

Answers

Hello. You did not enter the text to which this question refers, which makes it impossible for it to be answered. However, when researching your question on the internet, I was able to find another question exactly the same as yours, which presents the text shown in the attached image. If that's your case, I hope the answer below will help.

Answer:

The sentences that reveal Alcott's feelings about the war are:

"A busy time getting them ready, and a sad day seeing them off.""At the station the scene was very dramatic [...]"

Alcott wants to become a nurse because she cannot fight in the war and therefore wants to help those who can. This can be seen in the line:

"I long to be a man, but I can't fight, I will content myself with, working for these who can."

Explanation:

The text shows Alcott's thoughts on the war. Although she shows that she always wanted to witness a war, probably because of the feeling of nationalism and belonging, she shows that there is a feeling of sadness in sending men to war, as this is a destination that is not known the result. The city is sad because it does not know if these men will be able to return alive and healthy. She also recognizes that all of this causes a strong drama in all families.

Acott would very much like to participate in the war and so he decides to be a nurse, since only men can participate in battles.

As you read lines 1-21, begin to collect and cite the text evidence. . In the margin, state when alcott

What is the difference between theories and laws? Provide examples of theories and the evidence that supports them.

Answers

Answer:

1.A law is an observation; a theory is the explanation of that observation. 2.A theory requires experimentation under various conditions.

Explanation:

Name the worlds only carbon negative country​

Answers

Answer: Bhutan

Explanation: The Kingdom of Bhutan is the only carbon negative country in the world.

list the possible harmful effect of air pollution​

Answers

Answer:

health problems (heart disease, lung cancer, and respiratory diseases such as emphysema)

kills plants and animals

poisons soils and waterways

global warming

climate change

acid rain

smog effect

think positive and I know you can do it

Explanation:

\(\sf\large\green{\underbrace{\red{Question*}}}:\)
Features of oligarchy ​

Answers

\(\color{lime}{ \boxed{{\colorbox{black} { \underline{Features of oligarchy }}}}}\)

\( \huge\pink{ \star}\)Oligarchy is the opposite of popular participation.

\( \huge\pink{ \star}\)Leadership may take several forms such as aristocracy, theocracy and militocrazy.

\( \huge\pink{ \star}\)The principal cause of oligarchy is the presumed of technical indispensability of leadership.

\( \huge\pink{ \star}\)Power is concentrated in the hands of a few who are usually rich.

\( \color{red}{━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━}\)

according to john bowlby, what is the proximate (observed) function of the attachment behavioral system?

Answers

The function of the attachment behavioral system is to regulate the proximity between a person and their attachment figure.

What is the attachment behavioral system?

When a baby senses a threat, the attachment behavioral system kicks in. While threatened, an infant will seek their primary caregiver, but when the danger is low, they will explore their surroundings. In the first year of life, an attachment pattern typically emerges. Secure, anxious-ambivalent, disorganized, and avoidant attachment patterns are only a few of Bowlby's four classifications. According to attachment theory, a child might acquire a sense of security when their primary caregivers are available and attentive to their needs. The infant learns that the caregiver can be relied upon, providing a safe foundation from which the youngster can later explore the outside world.

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What is the most important factor in determining a nation’s standard of living?

Answers

Answer:

average costs

Explanation:

average cost of living, gas, food, economy

a recent study completed by peng and nisbett (1999) which focused on dialectical thinking found that what culture tended to promote this type of thinking more than others?

Answers

China tends to promote dialectical thinking more than other cultures, as evidenced by a study conducted by Peng and Nisbett in 1999 that found that Chinese participants were more likely to view contradictions as complementary rather than opposing.

Whereas Western participants were more likely to view contradictions as mutually exclusive.

Dialectical thinking is the ability to hold contradictory ideas or beliefs simultaneously and to recognize the interdependence and interconnectedness of different elements. The study found that Chinese culture tends to promote this type of thinking through the emphasis on the interconnectedness of all things and the belief in the importance of harmony and balance.

In contrast, Western cultures tend to promote more linear thinking and the belief in the separation and independence of different elements. The findings suggest that cultural values and beliefs can shape individuals' cognitive processes and thinking styles.

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In a neuron, where are voltage-gated calcium channels located? LI Ld E axon hillock soma FI dendrites RE terminal bouton axon Sel

Answers

voltage-gated calcium channels are located in the axon hillock, soma, dendrites, terminal bouton, and axon of a neuron.

voltage-gated calcium channels are crucial for the transmission of electrical signals in neurons. These channels are located in specific regions of the neuron, including:

axon hillock: The axon hillock is the region where the axon originates from the soma. It plays a crucial role in initiating action potentials.Soma: Also known as the cell body, the soma contains the nucleus and other organelles necessary for the neuron's functioning.dendrites: Dendrites are the branched extensions that receive signals from other neurons.terminal bouton: Also called the synaptic terminal, the terminal bouton is located at the end of the axon and is responsible for transmitting signals to other neurons.Axon: The axon is a long, slender projection that carries the electrical signals away from the cell body.Learn more:

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A neuron's soma, dendrites, terminal bouton, axon hillock, and axon all include voltage-gated calcium channels.

For the electrical signals in neurons to be transmitted, voltage-gated calcium channels are essential. These channels are found in particular areas of the neuron, such as:

Axon hillock is the area where the axon leaves the soma known as the axon hillock. It is essential for starting action potentials. Soma is also referred to as the cell body, the soma houses the nucleus and other organelles crucial to the proper operation of the neuron.

Dendrites are the branched extensions of a neuron that receive messages from neighboring neurons are known as dendrites. The terminal bouton, also known as the synaptic terminal, is a structure at the end of an axon that transmits signals to neighboring neurons.

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China, Japan, North korea and South korea which is a presidential democracy

Answers

Answer:

im pretty sure its China but im not sure

Answer:

South Korea

Explanation:

The politics of the Republic of Korea takes in place in the framework of a presidential representative democratic republic, whereby the President is the head of state, and of a multi-party system. The government exercises Executive power and Legislative power is vested in both the government and the National Assembly.

How did the causes of the Mexican Revolution differ from those of other colonies’ revolutions?

a. Mexican colonists objected to trade restrictions.

b. The Mexican Revolution did not involve extensive fighting

c. Mexican colonists wanted to have equal rights for all classes.

d. The Mexican Revolution was not influenced by Enlightenment ideas.

Answers

The correct answer is c. Mexican colonists wanted to have equal rights for all classes.

The Mexican Revolution was a significant event in Mexican history that took place from 1910 to 1920. It was a complex and multifaceted conflict that involved various social, economic, and political issues. One of the main causes of the revolution was the widespread discontent among the Mexican people over the social and economic inequalities that existed in the country. Many Mexicans believed that the ruling elites, including the Catholic Church and the landowning class, held too much power and were able to maintain their privileged status at the expense of the rest of the population. As a result, the Mexican Revolution was driven in large part by a desire for social justice and equality.

Other causes of the Mexican Revolution included political corruption, government repression, and the long-standing demands of indigenous communities for land reform. The revolution was also influenced by Enlightenment ideas, such as the concept of democracy and the belief in the inherent rights of individuals. However, the Mexican Revolution was not driven solely by Enlightenment ideals, as there were many other factors at play as well.

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The company proposed to make a further issue of Rs 1,00,000 of these Rs 10 shares at a price of Rs 14 each, the arrangements for payment being: (a) Rs 2 per share payable on application, to be received by 1st July 2016 (b) Allotment to be made on 10th July, 2016 and a further Rs 5 per share ( including premium) to be payable; (c) The final call for the balance to be made, and the money received by 30th April 2017. Applications were received for 3,55,000 shares and were dealt with as follows :- (i) Applicants for 55,000 shares were rejected on allotment. (ii) Balance shares were allotted pro rata basis. Excess application money adjusted towards share allotment account. Mr. Thomas who had applied for 1500 shares failed to pay allotment money and call money. His shares were forfeited after the final call. Later all the forfeited shares were reissued at Rs 9 per share.1. The authorized capital of ABC consist of _____ number of shares 2. Total issued capital of the company is Rs________ 3. 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Before he started watering the plants in his garden, Miguel's friend Alejandro checked his irrigation tank and found it contained 425 gallons. If Alejandro is irrigating his plants at rate of 11. 5 gallons per minute, how much water will be in each tank when both tanks have the same amount of water? table 7 of the data booklet lists melting points of the elements. explain the trend in the melting points of the alkali metals, halogens, and period 3 elemtns Which of the following is NOT an example of accommodations for diverse cultural values?ResponsesAllowing religious observanceAllowing religious observanceAllowing an employee to arrive late to work everydayAllowing an employee to arrive late to work everyday,Allowing a break during pray timeAllowing a break during pray timeAllowing culturally specific dressAllowing culturally specific dress